参考文献

[1]Anscombe,F. J."Graphs in Statistical Analysis."The American Statistician,vol.27，no.1(Fbruary 1973），pp.17-21.

[2]Bikhchandani,S. et al.（1998）."Learning from the Behavior of Others:Conformity,Fads,and Informational Cascades，"Journal of Economic Perspectives,vol.12，issue 3，pp.151-170.

[3]Dwyer,D. W.2005."Examples of overfitting encountered when building private firm default prediction models"(ww.moodyskmv.com/research/files/wp/Overfitting_Private_Firm_Models.pdf).

[4]Epstein,Joshua M.（2008）."Why Model?". Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 11（4）12.

[5]Ge,J. et al.，2004，"All Sky Extrasolar Planet Searches with Multi-Object Dispersed Fixeddelay Interferometer in Optical and near-IR."Proc.SPIE，5492，711.

[6]Goldstein,Daniel G. et al.（2008）."Choosing Outcomes Versus Choosing Products:Consumer-Focused Retirement Investment Advice."Journal of Consumer Research，35(Otober)，440-456.

[7]Gould,S. J."The Median is not the Message."Discover Magazine，1985.

[8]Iyengar,S. S.and M.R.Lepper."When choice is demotivating:can one desire too much of a good thing?"Journal of Personality and Social Psychology，2000，vol.79，no.6，995-1006.

[9]Jeng,M."A selected history of expectation bias in physics."American Journal of Physics，2006.

[10]Kahneman,Daniel and Amos Tversky（1979）."Prospect Theory:An Analysis of Decision under Risk，"Econometrica,XLVII（1979），263-291.

[11]Krumme,C."Telling tales:the effects of narrative creation on decision-making with data，"working paper.

[12]LO'A. W.and D.V.Repin."The Psychophysiology of Real-Time Financial Risk Processing"Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience,April 1，2002，vol.14，no.3，323-339.

[13]Lord,C. G.et al.（1979）."Biased assimilation and attitude polarization:The effects of prior theories on [14]subsequently considered evidence."Journal of Personality and Social Psychology，37，2098-2109. Shellenbarger,Sue.Wall Street Journal"Work and Family"column,March 22，2008.